Seven Overtimes NCAA Basketball Analytics Ratings

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NCAA Basketball Analytics - 08:21 01/21/2012

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About the Seven Overtimes Project

After attending the 2011 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, I decided I wanted to work on a project of my own. My initial goal was to create a team ranking system based on a team's ability to dictate pace. My original work focused on simply getting the data into a useable data warehouse and seeing what I could come up with. However, the work to get the play-by-play data led me to using win probabilities instead. Even though I still think the Pace-based metrics would be interesting, that work is on hold for a while. I also had no plans of creating a website or posting this daily, but the work simply evolved as a way to track myself.

I purchased the SevenOvertimes.com domain almost two years ago after ESPN created SixOvertimes.com to sell merchandise related to the Syracuse-UConn Big East Tournament game from 2009. I had simply been squatting on the domain, and once I realized I wanted to put my rankings online, I had the perfect place for it.

About Me

I graduated from Vanderbilt University in 2007 with degrees in Mathematics and Physics. After graduation, I worked as a Senior Systems Analyst at RaceTrac Petroleum - I spent most of my time working on RaceTrac's data warehouse and creating reports - skills that made developing the SevenOvertimes database and website much easier. In April of 2012, I moved to Walnut Creek, CA to take on a similar role with the Oakland Athletics. When I am not watching sports, I can be found playing basketball (spotting up on the wing), tennis, or trivia.

My Paper

The work behind this website was featured in a research paper that I wrote and presented at the 2012 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. A copy of the paper can be found here.

The work I've done has been recognized in ESPN the Magazine, the Wall Street Journal, and many other blogs and websites.
Links to my work:
WSJ Story: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304537904577279751660929784.html
ESPN's True Hoop: http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/37909/everything-you-know-about-basketball-is-wrong
Team Rankings: http://www.teamrankings.com/blog/ncaa-basketball/byu-makes-epic-comeback-despite-little-crunch-time-experience-stat-geek-idol
Sloan Link: http://www.sloansportsconference.com/?p=6151