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NCAA Basketball Analytics - Updated - 16:42 04/20/2013

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Updated 03-19-2013: I have created a Win Probability Calculator - you can access it at here. Game predictions and game previews pages can be seen under the "NCAA Tournament HQ" link at the top. Other details can be found in the blog or in my twitter feed (@SevenOvertimes).

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Team Rankings

Rank	Team	Record	Conference	Rating	AvgWinProb	Strength of Schedule	SOS Rank	Pace	Pace Rank	Luck	Luck Rank
1	Louisville	(35-5)	Big East	0.655	0.806	0.547	1	66.6	193	2.74	23
18	Michigan	(30-8)	Big Ten	0.608	0.749	0.545	2	69.2	96	0.78	71
21	North Carolina	(24-11)	ACC	0.603	0.695	0.545	3	72.9	22	-1.0	185
20	Oklahoma	(20-12)	Big XII	0.604	0.685	0.544	4	68.4	126	-1.9	248
2	Duke	(30-6)	ACC	0.652	0.762	0.544	5	71.2	52	2.54	24
14	Michigan St	(26-9)	Big Ten	0.614	0.681	0.544	6	63.5	277	1.46	51
30	Oklahoma St	(24-9)	Big XII	0.598	0.701	0.543	7	67.4	166	0.84	68
40	Baylor	(22-14)	Big XII	0.587	0.673	0.542	8	71.1	53	-2.9	292
108	Texas	(16-17)	Big XII	0.531	0.475	0.542	9	65.6	226	-0.1	125
6	Kansas	(31-6)	Big XII	0.630	0.785	0.542	10	68.5	117	1.95	33
49	Villanova	(19-14)	Big East	0.583	0.636	0.542	11	66.4	201	-2.6	273
22	Minnesota	(21-13)	Big Ten	0.601	0.608	0.542	12	65.4	233	0.32	98
27	Wisconsin	(23-12)	Big Ten	0.600	0.664	0.542	13	60.4	329	-0.2	132
50	Kentucky	(21-12)	SEC	0.580	0.692	0.541	14	68.5	121	-1.8	240
12	Marquette	(26-9)	Big East	0.617	0.697	0.541	15	65.3	238	1.57	46
32	N Carolina St	(24-11)	ACC	0.597	0.712	0.541	16	73.8	16	-0.9	176
7	Miami (FL)	(29-7)	ACC	0.620	0.755	0.541	17	65.1	245	1.79	38
8	Ohio St	(29-8)	Big Ten	0.620	0.736	0.541	18	64.8	252	1.76	40
55	Tennessee	(20-13)	SEC	0.560	0.563	0.540	19	64.8	251	1.40	52
95	West Virginia	(13-19)	Big XII	0.537	0.426	0.540	20	67.0	173	-0.6	158
19	Iowa St	(23-12)	Big XII	0.607	0.697	0.540	21	75.2	9	-1.4	210
106	USC	(14-18)	Pac-12	0.531	0.416	0.539	22	66.6	191	0.68	75
148	Texas Tech	(11-20)	Big XII	0.510	0.403	0.538	23	69.0	98	-1.5	218
5	Indiana	(29-7)	Big Ten	0.634	0.782	0.538	24	70.3	72	0.81	70
42	Illinois	(22-13)	Big Ten	0.586	0.604	0.538	25	66.6	191	0.24	106
96	Wake Forest	(13-18)	ACC	0.537	0.477	0.538	26	68.8	106	-1.8	239
3	Florida	(29-8)	SEC	0.636	0.832	0.538	27	62.8	291	-1.7	238
15	Georgetown	(25-7)	Big East	0.613	0.762	0.538	28	60.5	327	0.61	83
79	Nebraska	(15-18)	Big Ten	0.545	0.421	0.538	29	60.8	320	1.10	56
71	Vanderbilt	(16-17)	SEC	0.550	0.515	0.538	30	60.2	333	-1.0	183
4	Syracuse	(30-10)	Big East	0.635	0.737	0.537	31	64.5	259	0.50	89
31	Kansas St	(26-8)	Big XII	0.598	0.737	0.537	32	64.7	255	0.17	109
85	South Florida	(12-19)	Big East	0.543	0.432	0.537	33	60.4	328	-1.4	212
60	Alabama	(22-13)	SEC	0.558	0.614	0.537	34	60.6	323	-0.1	122
76	Florida St	(18-16)	ACC	0.547	0.478	0.537	35	67.7	144	1.74	41
26	Cincinnati	(22-12)	Big East	0.600	0.671	0.537	36	62.7	295	-0.8	174
174	Auburn	(9-23)	SEC	0.481	0.305	0.536	37	66.7	182	-0.7	170
17	Arizona	(27-8)	Pac-12	0.610	0.712	0.535	38	68.5	123	2.07	29
70	Rutgers	(15-16)	Big East	0.550	0.496	0.535	39	65.7	218	-0.3	140
73	Georgia	(15-17)	SEC	0.549	0.541	0.535	40	61.2	319	-2.3	263
197	TCU	(10-21)	Big XII	0.474	0.296	0.534	41	58.7	339	0.50	88
33	Notre Dame	(25-10)	Big East	0.597	0.683	0.534	42	66.7	185	1.06	59
38	UCLA	(25-10)	Pac-12	0.589	0.670	0.533	43	71.8	40	1.51	48
64	Arkansas	(19-13)	SEC	0.557	0.580	0.533	44	71.2	51	0.42	93
41	Connecticut	(20-10)	Big East	0.587	0.657	0.533	45	67.6	151	0.27	101
66	Providence	(19-15)	Big East	0.553	0.540	0.533	46	66.2	206	0.62	81
65	Virginia	(23-12)	ACC	0.556	0.653	0.533	47	59.9	335	0.11	112
114	Virginia Tech	(13-19)	ACC	0.528	0.419	0.533	48	72.5	28	-0.4	147
163	Miss. St	(10-22)	SEC	0.486	0.319	0.533	49	65.0	247	-0.2	130
135	Penn St	(10-21)	Big Ten	0.520	0.343	0.533	50	64.9	249	-0.6	160
77	Boston College	(16-17)	ACC	0.546	0.466	0.532	51	67.5	155	0.61	82
57	St. Johns	(17-16)	Big East	0.559	0.483	0.532	52	65.4	234	1.04	61
29	Colorado	(21-12)	Pac-12	0.599	0.650	0.531	53	65.5	227	-0.4	151
86	Ole Miss	(27-9)	SEC	0.543	0.627	0.531	54	72.0	36	4.40	4
78	Purdue	(16-18)	Big Ten	0.545	0.498	0.531	55	65.6	224	-0.9	177
125	Clemson	(13-18)	ACC	0.524	0.504	0.531	56	60.8	321	-2.6	272
24	Butler	(26-9)	Atlantic Ten	0.600	0.710	0.531	57	66.5	195	0.43	92
104	Northwestern	(13-19)	Big Ten	0.533	0.430	0.531	58	62.1	309	-0.7	169
113	Georgia Tech	(16-15)	ACC	0.529	0.530	0.531	59	63.3	282	-0.4	148
143	DePaul	(11-21)	Big East	0.515	0.430	0.530	60	73.3	18	-2.7	283
37	Oregon	(28-9)	Pac-12	0.589	0.727	0.530	61	67.5	154	1.07	57
53	Maryland	(25-13)	ACC	0.562	0.611	0.530	62	67.3	168	1.74	42
39	California	(21-12)	Pac-12	0.588	0.616	0.530	63	65.7	221	0.66	78
98	LSU	(19-12)	SEC	0.535	0.560	0.530	64	69.8	79	1.62	45
25	Missouri	(23-11)	SEC	0.600	0.714	0.529	65	71.4	49	-1.3	201
48	Iowa	(25-13)	Big Ten	0.583	0.730	0.529	66	66.4	200	-2.7	282
61	Xavier	(17-14)	Atlantic Ten	0.558	0.559	0.529	67	63.8	270	-0.3	139
101	Seton Hall	(15-18)	Big East	0.534	0.436	0.528	68	64.9	248	0.58	86
62	Washington	(18-16)	Pac-12	0.558	0.495	0.528	69	67.5	157	1.16	55
45	Pittsburgh	(24-9)	Big East	0.585	0.704	0.527	70	62.5	302	0.73	73
100	Washington St	(13-19)	Pac-12	0.535	0.517	0.526	71	63.6	271	-3.5	312
177	South Carolina	(14-18)	SEC	0.481	0.446	0.526	72	67.5	161	-0.2	134
34	Stanford	(19-15)	Pac-12	0.596	0.664	0.526	73	68.4	124	-3.6	314
47	Colorado St	(24-9)	Mountain West	0.584	0.734	0.526	74	68.3	132	-1.7	237
140	Fresno St	(9-19)	Mountain West	0.517	0.422	0.525	75	60.4	330	-3.6	317
52	Texas A&M	(18-15)	SEC	0.562	0.562	0.525	76	62.9	290	-0.5	156
130	Utah	(13-18)	Pac-12	0.522	0.477	0.525	77	63.6	272	-2.7	284
10	New Mexico	(29-6)	Mountain West	0.617	0.723	0.524	78	63.9	267	3.69	9
13	VCU	(27-9)	Atlantic Ten	0.615	0.768	0.524	79	70.7	65	-0.6	159
89	Boise St	(19-11)	Mountain West	0.541	0.633	0.524	80	69.3	92	-1.2	198
120	Rhode Island	(8-21)	Atlantic Ten	0.527	0.444	0.524	81	64.3	262	-4.8	337
43	Creighton	(28-8)	Missouri Valley	0.586	0.769	0.524	82	68.8	109	0.31	99
72	Dayton	(17-14)	Atlantic Ten	0.550	0.592	0.523	83	69.2	94	-1.3	205
91	Saint Josephs	(18-14)	Atlantic Ten	0.539	0.560	0.523	84	65.5	229	0.07	116
11	Memphis	(31-5)	Conference USA	0.617	0.831	0.523	85	69.6	83	1.05	60
226	Fordham	(7-24)	Atlantic Ten	0.466	0.204	0.523	86	70.1	75	0.65	79
59	La Salle	(24-10)	Atlantic Ten	0.559	0.589	0.522	87	69.2	95	3.97	8
36	Temple	(24-10)	Atlantic Ten	0.590	0.718	0.521	88	70.0	77	-0.4	146
68	Massachusetts	(21-12)	Atlantic Ten	0.552	0.530	0.521	89	72.3	31	3.49	11
90	Oregon St	(14-18)	Pac-12	0.540	0.531	0.521	90	71.1	54	-3.0	294
16	Saint Louis	(28-7)	Atlantic Ten	0.610	0.792	0.521	91	63.1	286	0.27	104
58	UTEP	(18-14)	Conference USA	0.559	0.587	0.520	92	62.6	297	-0.7	171
56	Southern Miss	(25-10)	Conference USA	0.560	0.671	0.520	93	68.6	114	0.15	111
54	San Diego St	(21-11)	Mountain West	0.561	0.606	0.520	94	65.1	242	0.36	96
97	Air Force	(16-14)	Mountain West	0.537	0.506	0.520	95	68.9	103	-0.1	128
35	UNLV	(24-10)	Mountain West	0.592	0.713	0.519	96	67.2	172	-0.9	181
94	Indiana St	(17-15)	Missouri Valley	0.537	0.482	0.519	97	65.5	232	1.06	58
28	Wichita St	(30-9)	Missouri Valley	0.599	0.746	0.519	98	65.4	237	0.87	67
9	Gonzaga	(31-3)	West Coast	0.618	0.858	0.518	99	68.4	128	0.96	64
172	Duquesne	(8-22)	Atlantic Ten	0.482	0.280	0.518	100	71.6	47	-0.4	144
110	St. Bonaventure	(14-15)	Atlantic Ten	0.530	0.531	0.518	101	72.3	30	-1.4	211
99	Illinois St	(18-15)	Missouri Valley	0.535	0.591	0.518	102	71.5	48	-1.5	217
46	BYU	(23-12)	West Coast	0.584	0.717	0.517	103	73.3	19	-2.8	288
153	Marshall	(12-19)	Conference USA	0.493	0.378	0.517	104	70.8	62	-0.1	121
124	G. Washington	(13-17)	Atlantic Ten	0.526	0.518	0.517	105	65.9	215	-2.5	269
83	Arizona St	(22-13)	Pac-12	0.543	0.561	0.517	106	69.6	86	2.33	26
63	Richmond	(19-15)	Atlantic Ten	0.558	0.580	0.517	107	68.2	134	-0.7	166
126	Drake	(14-17)	Missouri Valley	0.524	0.525	0.517	108	72.1	34	-2.8	287
74	Northern Iowa	(20-15)	Missouri Valley	0.549	0.575	0.516	109	64.2	263	-0.7	165
131	Nevada	(11-19)	Mountain West	0.522	0.419	0.516	110	69.6	84	-2.0	251
156	Tulsa	(16-15)	Conference USA	0.491	0.386	0.516	111	68.0	138	3.63	10
118	East Carolina	(19-12)	Conference USA	0.527	0.610	0.515	112	73.7	17	-2.3	264
199	Missouri St	(9-22)	Missouri Valley	0.474	0.305	0.515	113	62.1	310	-1.0	188
107	Charlotte	(20-12)	Atlantic Ten	0.531	0.534	0.515	114	67.6	150	2.89	21
136	San Francisco	(13-16)	West Coast	0.519	0.508	0.515	115	69.3	90	-2.7	281
144	UAB	(13-17)	Conference USA	0.515	0.498	0.515	116	71.9	39	-2.4	267
149	San Diego	(14-18)	West Coast	0.510	0.498	0.514	117	65.8	217	-2.9	293
84	UCF	(18-11)	Conference USA	0.543	0.623	0.514	118	68.9	104	-1.3	203
87	Wyoming	(18-14)	Mountain West	0.542	0.534	0.514	119	60.0	334	-0.1	127
263	Rice	(4-24)	Conference USA	0.454	0.258	0.514	120	66.2	207	-3.7	319
23	Saint Marys	(27-7)	West Coast	0.601	0.753	0.513	121	68.7	111	0.61	84
161	Portland	(9-21)	West Coast	0.486	0.344	0.511	122	64.6	256	-2.0	253
206	S Illinois	(13-17)	Missouri Valley	0.472	0.403	0.511	123	64.2	264	0.49	91
69	Santa Clara	(24-12)	West Coast	0.551	0.674	0.511	124	71.1	56	-1.6	226
92	Evansville	(20-15)	Missouri Valley	0.538	0.598	0.510	125	67.5	158	-1.5	219
171	Loyola Mary	(10-22)	West Coast	0.482	0.332	0.509	126	66.7	183	-1.2	200
80	New Mexico St	(23-11)	WAC	0.545	0.662	0.506	127	64.7	254	-0.2	129
166	Delaware	(19-14)	Colonial	0.484	0.485	0.506	128	68.9	102	2.97	17
274	Bradley	(18-17)	Missouri Valley	0.450	0.294	0.506	129	68.1	136	7.69	1
75	Denver	(22-10)	WAC	0.547	0.666	0.506	130	60.4	331	0.67	76
183	S Methodist	(12-14)	Conference USA	0.480	0.527	0.506	131	63.6	274	-4.8	338
170	Tulane	(18-15)	Conference USA	0.483	0.519	0.505	132	67.5	161	0.34	97
157	Idaho	(11-18)	WAC	0.489	0.428	0.504	133	68.8	108	-1.8	242
186	Drexel	(13-18)	Colonial	0.480	0.429	0.504	134	63.0	288	-0.3	135
93	Detroit	(18-13)	Horizon League	0.538	0.597	0.504	135	74.3	14	-1.7	236
122	Harvard	(19-10)	Ivy League	0.527	0.614	0.504	136	66.2	208	0.57	87
178	Pepperdine	(11-18)	West Coast	0.481	0.354	0.502	137	65.0	246	0.37	95
88	Davidson	(24-8)	Southern Conference	0.541	0.740	0.502	138	67.6	149	-1.1	194
109	George Mason	(22-16)	Colonial	0.531	0.614	0.502	139	66.9	177	-1.3	204
155	Long Beach St	(17-14)	Big West	0.491	0.444	0.502	140	70.4	68	2.31	27
44	Belmont	(24-7)	Ohio Valley	0.585	0.750	0.501	141	70.6	67	-0.7	168
82	Ohio	(24-10)	Mid-American	0.544	0.693	0.501	142	68.4	125	0.40	94
160	Northeastern	(20-13)	Colonial	0.486	0.460	0.501	143	68.5	115	4.81	2
211	Houston	(19-13)	Conference USA	0.470	0.545	0.500	144	75.7	6	1.01	62
237	San Jose St	(8-20)	WAC	0.462	0.312	0.500	145	65.5	230	-1.0	186
134	TX-Arlington	(19-14)	WAC	0.520	0.567	0.500	146	63.5	278	0.27	103
246	Old Dominion	(5-25)	Colonial	0.460	0.343	0.500	147	67.9	142	-5.3	342
67	Akron	(25-7)	Mid-American	0.552	0.660	0.500	148	67.2	170	3.19	15
297	Texas St	(11-22)	WAC	0.439	0.304	0.500	149	72.8	24	0.65	80
185	Buffalo	(12-20)	Mid-American	0.480	0.421	0.499	150	67.0	174	-2.3	262
123	Pacific	(20-13)	Big West	0.526	0.648	0.499	151	65.4	235	-2.6	276
215	Bowling Green	(11-19)	Mid-American	0.470	0.403	0.499	152	63.1	287	-1.9	247
285	UNC-Wilmington	(9-20)	Colonial	0.443	0.354	0.499	153	66.8	180	-1.6	229
212	Seattle	(7-22)	WAC	0.470	0.407	0.498	154	67.0	176	-5.2	341
133	Louisiana Tech	(26-7)	WAC	0.521	0.707	0.498	155	67.9	141	1.96	32
176	Oakland	(14-17)	Summit League	0.481	0.438	0.498	156	74.6	13	-0.4	149
193	Manhattan	(14-18)	MAAC	0.475	0.390	0.498	157	59.0	338	1.49	50
103	Valparaiso	(25-8)	Horizon League	0.533	0.669	0.498	158	66.7	184	2.24	28
243	UTSA	(10-22)	WAC	0.461	0.325	0.497	159	66.7	186	-0.4	145
51	Mid Tennessee	(28-6)	Sun Belt	0.567	0.762	0.497	160	64.3	260	2.06	31
102	Kent St	(20-14)	Mid-American	0.534	0.637	0.497	161	69.3	91	-2.2	261
111	Utah St	(20-10)	WAC	0.530	0.645	0.497	162	66.2	209	-0.0	119
287	LA-Monroe	(4-23)	Sun Belt	0.443	0.211	0.497	163	66.2	204	-1.6	234
210	Miami (OH)	(8-22)	Mid-American	0.470	0.366	0.496	164	65.8	216	-3.3	304
154	W Kentucky	(19-16)	Sun Belt	0.492	0.475	0.496	165	66.2	205	1.88	34
252	William & Mary	(12-17)	Colonial	0.458	0.511	0.496	166	68.5	120	-3.3	303
192	Georgia St	(14-16)	Colonial	0.476	0.499	0.496	167	67.5	156	-1.4	216
159	Green Bay	(17-16)	Horizon League	0.487	0.499	0.496	168	64.5	258	0.03	117
292	Milwaukee	(6-24)	Horizon League	0.440	0.297	0.496	169	66.7	186	-3.5	311
187	Towson	(17-13)	Colonial	0.479	0.454	0.496	170	67.5	153	2.91	20
117	Canisius	(20-14)	MAAC	0.527	0.592	0.496	171	71.8	42	-0.1	123
241	Marist	(10-21)	MAAC	0.461	0.353	0.496	172	68.3	130	-0.9	180
151	Tennessee St	(16-15)	Ohio Valley	0.502	0.482	0.496	173	70.7	66	0.07	115
129	S Dakota St	(22-10)	Summit League	0.523	0.673	0.495	174	69.5	88	-1.5	224
208	James Madison	(21-15)	Colonial	0.472	0.468	0.495	175	64.8	250	4.12	7
169	UC Irvine	(19-16)	Big West	0.483	0.495	0.495	176	67.2	171	0.67	77
105	Iona	(20-14)	MAAC	0.533	0.667	0.495	177	78.3	1	-2.7	278
218	LA-Lafayette	(12-20)	Sun Belt	0.469	0.399	0.495	178	71.9	38	-1.1	193
158	Northwestern St	(19-9)	Southland	0.488	0.600	0.494	179	75.6	7	-0.2	131
203	Youngstown St	(15-16)	Horizon League	0.473	0.517	0.494	180	70.3	73	-2.6	270
112	Oral Roberts	(19-14)	Southland	0.529	0.687	0.494	181	69.0	100	-4.3	335
146	Niagara	(19-14)	MAAC	0.513	0.588	0.494	182	72.9	23	-0.4	142
311	IUPUI	(4-26)	Summit League	0.432	0.300	0.494	183	71.0	57	-5.6	344
196	Cal Poly	(16-14)	Big West	0.474	0.476	0.494	184	63.9	266	0.75	72
249	E Michigan	(13-18)	Mid-American	0.459	0.482	0.494	185	57.8	344	-3.3	306
291	Nicholls St	(9-21)	Southland	0.441	0.352	0.494	186	70.1	76	-1.5	225
188	Morehead St	(13-18)	Ohio Valley	0.477	0.425	0.494	187	72.7	25	-1.0	184
289	Hofstra	(6-25)	Colonial	0.442	0.341	0.494	188	62.5	301	-4.9	339
201	South Alabama	(16-13)	Sun Belt	0.473	0.481	0.493	189	68.3	129	1.56	47
336	Lamar	(3-28)	Southland	0.411	0.143	0.493	190	68.7	113	-1.4	213
202	AR-Little Rock	(16-15)	Sun Belt	0.473	0.468	0.492	191	66.5	196	0.99	63
189	Illinois-Chicago	(17-16)	Horizon League	0.476	0.438	0.492	192	62.7	293	2.07	30
198	Cleveland St	(11-18)	Horizon League	0.474	0.392	0.492	193	66.8	181	-1.5	222
231	Yale	(12-17)	Ivy League	0.463	0.436	0.492	194	66.6	188	-1.5	220
235	Fairfield	(19-16)	MAAC	0.462	0.458	0.492	195	59.9	335	2.96	18
224	W Carolina	(12-19)	Southern Conference	0.467	0.438	0.492	196	69.5	89	-2.4	268
191	Florida Atl	(13-18)	Sun Belt	0.476	0.503	0.492	197	67.4	164	-3.1	299
281	CS Northridge	(12-17)	Big West	0.445	0.452	0.492	198	74.8	12	-2.0	254
242	UMKC	(7-24)	Summit League	0.461	0.330	0.491	199	65.6	223	-3.5	313
141	Wright St	(22-13)	Horizon League	0.517	0.622	0.491	200	60.2	332	-0.4	143
128	Princeton	(16-11)	Ivy League	0.523	0.726	0.491	201	61.3	317	-4.3	334
233	Samford	(10-21)	Southern Conference	0.463	0.388	0.491	202	63.6	274	-2.4	266
248	SE Louisiana	(11-18)	Southland	0.460	0.385	0.491	203	65.7	220	-0.9	178
121	FLA Gulf Coast	(24-11)	Atlantic Sun	0.527	0.681	0.491	204	69.7	82	-1.2	196
145	Loyola (MD)	(23-12)	MAAC	0.514	0.605	0.491	205	65.1	244	1.80	37
81	Bucknell	(27-6)	Patriot League	0.544	0.741	0.491	206	62.3	306	1.79	39
272	Pennsylvania	(9-22)	Ivy League	0.450	0.335	0.491	207	65.5	228	-1.3	207
266	Cornell	(12-18)	Ivy League	0.453	0.386	0.491	208	67.8	143	0.02	118
180	Arkansas St	(18-12)	Sun Belt	0.480	0.552	0.490	209	66.6	189	0.87	66
142	Florida Int	(18-14)	Sun Belt	0.516	0.567	0.490	210	69.0	99	-0.1	126
164	Rider	(19-15)	MAAC	0.486	0.463	0.490	211	63.4	279	3.23	13
244	UC Santa Barbara	(9-20)	Big West	0.461	0.344	0.490	212	66.0	213	-1.6	233
190	Mercer	(22-12)	Atlantic Sun	0.476	0.559	0.490	213	62.5	300	1.86	35
309	St. Peters	(9-21)	MAAC	0.432	0.322	0.490	214	62.6	298	-0.6	162
222	North Texas	(11-19)	Sun Belt	0.468	0.439	0.490	215	67.4	163	-3.0	297
119	Charleston	(24-10)	Southern Conference	0.527	0.678	0.490	216	63.9	269	0.25	105
264	Texas A&M-CC	(5-23)	Southland	0.453	0.315	0.490	217	63.9	268	-4.1	330
299	Georgia South	(12-18)	Southern Conference	0.438	0.384	0.490	218	63.6	276	-0.6	164
138	Murray St	(19-10)	Ohio Valley	0.517	0.650	0.489	219	69.8	81	-1.1	191
293	CS Bakersfield	(10-16)	Independent	0.440	0.408	0.489	220	68.5	122	-2.2	260
216	N Arizona	(11-21)	Big Sky	0.469	0.353	0.489	221	71.1	55	-0.3	136
217	Loyola (IL)	(14-16)	Horizon League	0.469	0.505	0.489	222	63.3	280	-1.6	232
184	W Michigan	(21-13)	Mid-American	0.480	0.470	0.489	223	65.4	235	4.51	3
303	Tennessee Tech	(10-17)	Ohio Valley	0.436	0.392	0.489	224	66.0	212	-1.3	206
209	UC Davis	(14-17)	Big West	0.470	0.488	0.489	225	71.7	43	-1.1	190
175	South Dakota	(8-20)	Summit League	0.481	0.407	0.489	226	72.0	37	-4.2	333
282	Cent Michigan	(10-20)	Mid-American	0.444	0.353	0.488	227	69.6	85	-0.9	179
238	Troy	(12-21)	Sun Belt	0.461	0.407	0.488	228	64.3	261	-1.4	214
152	Albany	(24-11)	America East	0.493	0.566	0.488	229	62.4	304	4.16	5
240	North Florida	(12-19)	Atlantic Sun	0.461	0.406	0.488	230	68.0	137	-1.0	182
258	Ball St	(15-15)	Mid-American	0.456	0.454	0.487	231	66.6	190	1.36	53
245	Lipscomb	(11-18)	Atlantic Sun	0.461	0.382	0.487	232	72.9	21	-0.4	150
326	Tenn-Martin	(7-21)	Ohio Valley	0.425	0.289	0.487	233	71.7	44	-1.6	231
147	N Dakota St	(22-10)	Summit League	0.512	0.725	0.487	234	61.6	314	-2.6	275
288	Appalachian St	(11-14)	Southern Conference	0.442	0.477	0.487	235	71.3	50	-1.8	244
306	E Tenn St	(9-22)	Atlantic Sun	0.435	0.272	0.487	236	66.8	179	0.27	102
338	Presbyterian	(5-24)	Big South	0.410	0.280	0.487	237	66.1	210	-3.9	326
181	Lafayette	(18-15)	Patriot League	0.480	0.435	0.487	238	69.0	100	3.20	14
275	Brown	(12-15)	Ivy League	0.449	0.421	0.487	239	63.3	281	0.20	108
116	Montana	(23-7)	Big Sky	0.527	0.678	0.487	240	67.7	145	1.29	54
305	Monmouth	(10-21)	Northeast	0.435	0.373	0.487	241	68.7	112	-1.5	221
256	American U	(10-20)	Patriot League	0.457	0.360	0.487	242	60.8	322	-0.8	173
200	CSU	(16-13)	Big South	0.474	0.587	0.486	243	70.3	71	-2.7	286
236	Wofford	(12-19)	Southern Conference	0.462	0.410	0.486	244	58.5	340	-1.1	189
253	North Dakota	(14-17)	Big Sky	0.458	0.461	0.486	245	67.6	148	-1.2	195
221	Elon	(18-12)	Southern Conference	0.468	0.527	0.486	246	66.9	178	0.59	85
316	McNeese St	(11-17)	Southland	0.429	0.349	0.486	247	68.1	135	0.16	110
223	UNC-Asheville	(13-16)	Big South	0.467	0.488	0.485	248	70.4	69	-2.6	271
330	UC Riverside	(4-24)	Big West	0.420	0.335	0.485	249	62.7	296	-6.3	346
318	Idaho St	(5-24)	Big Sky	0.428	0.282	0.485	250	60.6	325	-3.4	310
339	N Illinois	(4-25)	Mid-American	0.409	0.263	0.485	251	58.4	341	-3.9	323
307	Siena	(8-24)	MAAC	0.434	0.277	0.485	252	64.2	265	-0.8	175
150	Lehigh	(20-10)	Patriot League	0.508	0.690	0.485	253	69.1	97	-1.3	209
194	Jacksonville St	(15-11)	Ohio Valley	0.475	0.475	0.485	254	65.6	225	1.68	43
271	UMBC	(7-23)	America East	0.450	0.304	0.485	255	67.5	160	-2.4	265
132	Stony Brook	(24-8)	America East	0.522	0.749	0.485	256	62.7	294	-0.7	167
261	Colgate	(11-21)	Patriot League	0.454	0.345	0.484	257	66.6	194	-0.0	120
115	Weber St	(28-7)	Big Sky	0.527	0.774	0.484	258	68.5	116	-0.6	163
279	Maine	(10-19)	America East	0.448	0.428	0.484	259	67.9	140	-2.8	289
276	IPFW	(14-17)	Summit League	0.449	0.480	0.484	260	66.5	197	-1.8	241
262	CS Fullerton	(12-18)	Big West	0.454	0.502	0.484	261	75.5	8	-4.0	328
300	Nebraska Omaha	(10-19)	Summit League	0.437	0.294	0.484	262	76.8	5	0.88	65
255	Austin Peay	(6-22)	Ohio Valley	0.457	0.412	0.484	263	74.0	15	-6.7	347
284	Dartmouth	(8-19)	Ivy League	0.443	0.341	0.484	264	63.6	273	-1.5	223
213	Hawaii	(16-15)	Big West	0.470	0.484	0.484	265	72.5	28	0.49	90
239	W Illinois	(20-9)	Summit League	0.461	0.537	0.483	266	56.5	345	3.33	12
167	Robert Morris	(24-11)	Northeast	0.484	0.601	0.483	267	68.2	133	2.95	19
219	SE Missouri St	(14-16)	Ohio Valley	0.469	0.528	0.483	268	72.1	33	-2.9	291
137	Boston U	(17-13)	America East	0.517	0.610	0.483	269	66.1	211	-1.3	202
250	Columbia	(10-16)	Ivy League	0.459	0.475	0.483	270	61.4	316	-3.3	302
259	USC Upstate	(14-17)	Atlantic Sun	0.454	0.486	0.483	271	68.3	131	-2.0	255
220	Gardner-Webb	(18-13)	Big South	0.469	0.522	0.483	272	63.2	284	0.23	107
301	Southern Utah	(9-20)	Big Sky	0.437	0.360	0.483	273	69.2	93	-2.1	258
168	SF Austin	(23-5)	Southland	0.484	0.723	0.483	274	58.0	342	-0.1	124
207	Toledo	(15-13)	Mid-American	0.472	0.509	0.483	275	68.5	118	0.72	74
334	Furman	(5-24)	Southern Conference	0.413	0.288	0.483	276	65.3	239	-3.9	324
335	Citadel	(6-22)	Southern Conference	0.412	0.292	0.483	277	68.7	110	-2.7	285
267	Holy Cross	(12-19)	Patriot League	0.452	0.412	0.483	278	62.8	292	-0.8	172
228	Hartford	(17-14)	America East	0.465	0.472	0.483	279	60.6	324	2.35	25
304	UNC Greensboro	(7-21)	Southern Conference	0.435	0.399	0.483	280	72.7	26	-5.3	343
314	St. Francis (PA)	(5-23)	Northeast	0.430	0.272	0.482	281	67.6	152	-2.8	290
257	Sam Houston St	(14-17)	Southland	0.457	0.534	0.482	282	62.4	305	-4.1	331
127	E Kentucky	(23-10)	Ohio Valley	0.523	0.699	0.482	283	69.8	80	-1.4	215
254	Coast Carolina	(11-15)	Big South	0.457	0.489	0.482	284	65.2	241	-3.2	301
270	Long Island	(20-14)	Northeast	0.451	0.533	0.482	285	77.4	4	1.85	36
317	Cent Arkansas	(11-17)	Southland	0.429	0.421	0.482	286	77.5	3	-1.6	230
232	Stetson	(14-16)	Atlantic Sun	0.463	0.462	0.482	287	70.9	58	-0.3	138
277	Chattanooga	(11-19)	Southern Conference	0.449	0.394	0.482	288	70.8	61	-1.6	228
333	Kennesaw St	(3-27)	Atlantic Sun	0.413	0.239	0.482	289	66.3	203	-4.1	332
295	SIU-Edwardsville	(7-18)	Ohio Valley	0.439	0.328	0.482	290	65.2	240	-1.8	243
329	Longwood	(6-25)	Big South	0.424	0.285	0.482	291	75.1	10	-3.4	307
328	Jacksonville	(12-18)	Atlantic Sun	0.424	0.409	0.482	292	70.0	78	-1.0	187
227	Winthrop	(11-17)	Big South	0.466	0.464	0.481	293	60.5	326	-3.3	305
173	Bryant U	(19-12)	Northeast	0.481	0.585	0.481	294	72.6	27	0.84	69
302	N Kentucky	(11-16)	Atlantic Sun	0.437	0.427	0.481	295	59.7	337	-0.5	154
280	New Hampshire	(8-20)	America East	0.448	0.368	0.480	296	61.4	315	-2.6	277
260	N Colorado	(11-18)	Big Sky	0.454	0.452	0.480	297	70.4	70	-3.0	296
195	Mount St. Marys	(17-14)	Northeast	0.475	0.454	0.480	298	70.8	60	2.89	22
310	Portland St	(6-20)	Big Sky	0.432	0.348	0.480	299	70.8	64	-3.7	320
139	Vermont	(21-12)	America East	0.517	0.653	0.480	300	61.3	318	-0.5	155
165	Quinnipiac	(15-16)	Northeast	0.485	0.481	0.480	301	71.6	45	0.08	114
320	Fair Dickinson	(7-24)	Northeast	0.426	0.270	0.480	302	72.2	32	-1.3	208
273	Cent Conn St	(13-17)	Northeast	0.450	0.423	0.479	303	74.9	11	0.30	100
179	Savannah St	(16-15)	MEAC	0.481	0.535	0.479	304	56.1	347	-2.1	259
294	Navy	(7-23)	Patriot League	0.439	0.342	0.479	305	58.0	343	-3.6	315
251	E Washington	(10-21)	Big Sky	0.458	0.410	0.479	306	71.8	41	-2.7	279
323	Coppin St	(7-24)	MEAC	0.426	0.316	0.479	307	67.3	169	-3.1	300
308	Sacramento St	(12-15)	Big Sky	0.433	0.432	0.478	308	65.1	243	-0.5	153
321	Binghamton	(2-27)	America East	0.426	0.220	0.478	309	62.6	299	-4.6	336
182	Wagner	(19-12)	Northeast	0.480	0.479	0.478	310	67.9	139	4.12	6
331	Montana St	(11-17)	Big Sky	0.419	0.388	0.478	311	71.6	46	-0.6	157
269	Sacred Heart	(9-20)	Northeast	0.452	0.326	0.477	312	73.2	20	-0.4	152
225	St. Francis (NY)	(12-18)	Northeast	0.467	0.466	0.477	313	70.8	63	-2.0	252
247	Liberty	(12-21)	Big South	0.460	0.443	0.477	314	69.5	87	-3.9	325
325	Virginia Military	(11-17)	Big South	0.425	0.480	0.477	315	77.9	2	-3.8	322
340	MD-E Shore	(2-26)	MEAC	0.407	0.194	0.476	316	62.0	311	-3.4	308
229	Campbell	(11-19)	Big South	0.465	0.426	0.476	317	70.8	59	-3.0	298
322	Delaware St	(13-18)	MEAC	0.426	0.431	0.475	318	61.9	313	-1.2	197
205	Army	(15-15)	Patriot League	0.473	0.545	0.475	319	70.2	74	-1.9	246
298	Chicago St	(7-22)	Great West	0.438	0.404	0.475	320	67.0	175	-6.3	345
313	Howard	(6-23)	MEAC	0.430	0.304	0.475	321	56.1	346	-3.4	309
265	High Point	(15-14)	Big South	0.453	0.539	0.474	322	68.9	104	-1.7	235
234	E Illinois	(11-20)	Ohio Valley	0.463	0.404	0.474	323	62.3	308	-1.9	249
312	Radford	(10-19)	Big South	0.432	0.437	0.474	324	67.4	167	-3.9	327
346	New Orleans	(4-18)	Independent	0.364	0.351	0.474	325	72.0	35	-5.1	340
230	Norfolk St	(21-12)	MEAC	0.465	0.540	0.473	326	65.9	214	3.15	16
162	Texas Southern	(17-14)	SWAC	0.486	0.559	0.473	327	67.7	146	-0.3	137
332	Florida A&M	(6-23)	MEAC	0.415	0.316	0.472	328	68.5	119	-3.8	321
290	Alcorn St	(9-23)	SWAC	0.441	0.353	0.472	329	63.2	283	-3.0	295
327	S Carolina St	(4-23)	MEAC	0.424	0.270	0.472	330	65.7	222	-4.1	329
286	Hampton	(14-16)	MEAC	0.443	0.473	0.469	331	63.2	285	-0.6	161
204	N Carolina A&T	(19-17)	MEAC	0.473	0.510	0.469	332	62.0	312	0.10	113
214	N Carolina Cent	(17-8)	MEAC	0.470	0.680	0.469	333	62.5	303	-2.0	256
296	Bethune-Cook.	(12-20)	MEAC	0.439	0.389	0.469	334	67.6	147	-1.2	199
283	Morgan St	(17-15)	MEAC	0.444	0.480	0.468	335	66.5	198	1.63	44
278	AR-Pine Bluff	(16-14)	SWAC	0.449	0.483	0.467	336	64.6	257	1.50	49
343	Houston Baptist	(11-17)	Great West	0.400	0.367	0.466	337	65.5	231	-0.3	141
324	Jackson St	(11-18)	SWAC	0.425	0.419	0.466	338	68.8	107	-1.1	192
344	Miss. Valley St	(5-23)	SWAC	0.399	0.310	0.465	339	68.4	127	-3.6	318
315	Utah Valley	(10-18)	Great West	0.430	0.397	0.464	340	67.5	159	-2.7	280
342	Prairie View A&M	(12-19)	SWAC	0.403	0.410	0.463	341	64.7	253	-1.9	250
341	N.J.I.T.	(12-13)	Great West	0.406	0.539	0.463	342	67.4	165	-3.6	316
337	TX-Pan American	(12-16)	Great West	0.411	0.433	0.463	343	66.5	198	-1.8	245
347	Grambling St	(0-28)	SWAC	0.355	0.075	0.462	344	63.0	289	-2.1	257
268	Southern	(20-10)	SWAC	0.452	0.613	0.462	345	62.3	307	-0.2	133
345	Alabama A&M	(9-20)	SWAC	0.397	0.342	0.462	346	66.3	202	-1.6	227
319	Alabama St	(9-22)	SWAC	0.427	0.364	0.459	347	65.7	219	-2.6	274

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Copyright: Mark Bashuk, 2012
E-Mail: bashukma "at symbol" gmail "dot" com
Twitter: @tbbBaseball